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A 2007 contestant on Britain’s “The X Factor” talent show died of cancer after his doctor said his illness was likely anxiety, an inquest heard.

The Daily Mail said 19-year-old charity worker Christopher Chaffey had visited his doctor six times in the 15 months leading up to his death last September, but was told by Dr. Joseph Austin to “grow up and stop worrying.”

Chaffey only learned the extent of his illness two days before he died with cancerous tumors in his head and neck, and one malignant growth weighing more than four pounds in his chest, the newspaper said the inquest heard.

“It’s a very sad case which is treatable and potentially curable if it would have presented at an earlier stage,” said Dr. Sahra Ali, a consultant hematologist at Castle Hill Hospital, who was involved only at the end of Chaffey’s treatment.

Austin has said he didn’t suspect Chaffey was suffering from a serious condition, but has denied telling the teen and his parents that the illness was anxiety-related, the Mail said.

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Researchers from around the world will meet in Denmark today to discuss the latest scientific findings on climate change, following recent warnings that the severity of global warming this century will be much worse than previously expected and that changes to the climate will be difficult, if not impossible, to reverse for centuries to come.

The three-day international research congress at the University of Copenhagen is sponsored by a consortium of 11 research universities in Europe, the United States, Asia and Australia, including the Australian National University. It is part of the preliminaries for a conference of world leaders, also to be held in the Danish capital, this December to seek agreement on a global treaty or framework to replace the Kyoto Protocol as a mechanism for combating global warming.

The protocol, which expires in 2012, has had limited impact, partly because it binds only about three dozen developed economies to cut carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gas emissions blamed by many scientists for causing an increase in temperature, more extreme weather, the spread of disease and rising sea levels. The two biggest emitters, China and the US, are not in this group. Nor are emerging economies and other significant emitters like India, Indonesia and Brazil.

One of the questions the Copenhagen research congress will consider is whether the scientific evidence on the pace, scope and consequences of climate change presented to governments less than two years ago is already significantly out of date and whether policymakers should receive more frequent scientific reports.

The present process is cumbersome and lags well behind advances in research. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (the IPCC), established by the UN in 1988, brings together hundreds of experts from around the world to assess the science and policy implications of global warming. Their task is to collate all available evidence. Since 1990, the IPCC has published four comprehensive assessment reports on human-induced climate change. The next is not due until 2014. The most recent, in November 2007, concluded that the Earth’s temperature was likely to rise by 1.1 to 6.4 degrees by 2100, depending on how much greenhouse gas is released into the atmosphere in coming decades.

One of the lead authors of that report said last month it had probably seriously underestimated the consequences of climate change. Professor Chris Field, a Stanford University climate scientist, said ”we now have data showing that, from 2000 to 2007, greenhouse gas emissions increased far more rapidly than we expected, primarily because developing countries like China and India saw a huge upsurge in electric power generation, almost all of it based on coal”.

Coal and other fossil fuels are large contributors to releases of carbon dioxide (CO2), the main greenhouse gas. Professor Field, who co-chairs the IPCC working group charged with assessing the impacts of climate change, said he was particularly concerned about new evidence that tropical forests would dry out and catch fire, and that permafrost in the Arctic, warming faster than anywhere else, would thaw, releasing into the atmosphere enormous amounts of CO2 and methane, an even more potent global warming gas.

Other recent studies forecast that sea levels will rise substantially higher by 2100 than the IPCC projected and that the capacity of oceans to soak up excess CO2 is declining. The oceans, forests and other vegetation, as well as soil, absorb about half of all man-made CO2 emissions.

The rest stays in the atmosphere.

In Januar, a team of US and European scientists headed by another IPCC lead author published a study demonstrating how changes in surface temperature, rainfall and sea level were largely irreversible for more than 1000 years after the cessation of all CO2 emissions.

Team leader Susan Solomon, a senior scientist with the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, said, ”Our study convinced us that current choices regarding carbon dioxide will have legacies that will irreversibly change the planet.” Next month the NOAA

releases its annual update for 2008 on global greenhouse gas emissions. It is expected to show that, despite the recession and slowdown in industrial output, CO2 levels in the atmosphere already at their highest level in more than 800,000 years increased slightly last year.

Still, some analysts say the recession will temporarily cut emissions by up to one-third over the next couple of years and that this provides an opportunity for policymakers to act before the predicament gets worse.

Not all the recent research reaches dire conclusions about climate change. One study suggests that the tropical forest in the Amazon Basin might be less vulnerable to temperature rise than previously believed. Another concludes that the melting of the Greenland ice sheet, which accelerated in the early part of this decade, has slowed again.

Dr Vicky Pope, head of climate change advice at the Hadley Centre in Britain’s Meteorological Office, says there will always be natural variations in climate trends. But, she adds, the implications of climate change are profound and will be severe if greenhouse gas emissions are not cut ”drastically and swiftly” over coming decades.

The message from scientists to political leaders trying to cushion recession and spark a recovery is this: you may try to run from the costs of the climate change challenge, but ultimately there is nowhere to hide.

The writer is a visiting senior research fellow at the Institute of South-East Asian Studies in Singapore.

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A wave of uncertainty has gripped the Nairobi Stock Exchange (NSE), as stockbrokers worry over renewal of their trading licences.

The daunting auditors’ report over the embezzlement of investor funds at the collapsed Nyaga Stockbrokers and the widespread liquidity and governance issues facing many stockbrokers and investment bankers is good cause for worry.

The dealers, whose trading licences expired on December 31 last year, are increasingly getting agitated over what they termed as a deliberate move by Capital Markets Authority (CMA) to create unnecessary jitters in the market by withholding details of its inspection findings.

While the law stipulates that licences issued by the CMA have to be renewed by the end of March annually, and all licensees gazetted by the end of April, some brokers argued that the Authority’s inspections be carried out prior to the expiry of their trading permits to avoid instances where market players trade without licences. CMA is required to furnish every broker with a report of its inspection before renewing their licences.

No partial reports

CMA, however, dismissed the claims saying the assessment process was still on going and it could not issue partial reports to particular institutions.

“The inspection is still underway and should be completed by end of April tentatively,” said a CMA official who declined to be named.

Last year, six brokers and two investment advisory firms failed to meet the regulator’s licence renewal requirements and were issued with three-month conditional licences. CMA declined to renew their licences for 2008.

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